Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#303
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#305
Pace65.0#248
Improvement+8.0#1

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#304
Improvement+7.7#1

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#301
Improvement+0.3#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round28.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 119   @ Creighton L 57-71 8%     0 - 1 -7.9 +2.5 +3.0
  Nov 14, 2010 77   @ Iowa St. L 47-74 5%     0 - 2 -17.6 +3.5 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2010 135   @ Northern Arizona L 46-74 9%     0 - 3 -22.7 +1.4 +2.7
  Nov 20, 2010 322   Kennesaw St. W 74-59 70%     1 - 3 +0.4 -7.4 -6.5
  Nov 22, 2010 148   @ Loyola Chicago L 46-74 11%     1 - 4 -23.5 +1.1 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2010 105   @ Central Florida L 48-84 8%     1 - 5 -29.1 +2.4 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2010 180   @ Tulane L 69-84 15%     1 - 6 -12.9 +0.8 +0.7
  Dec 11, 2010 195   @ Arkansas St. L 53-77 16%     1 - 7 -22.7 -0.2 +0.4
  Dec 14, 2010 126   @ Mississippi St. L 46-67 9%     1 - 8 -15.2 +1.6 +3.2
  Dec 20, 2010 24   Belmont L 53-66 5%     1 - 9 -3.3 +4.2 +4.8
  Dec 22, 2010 150   @ SMU L 38-49 11%     1 - 10 -6.7 +1.0 +2.8
  Jan 04, 2011 288   Jackson St. L 52-58 OT 58%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -17.1 -6.5 -4.9
  Jan 06, 2011 332   Grambling St. W 50-47 78%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -14.3 -9.5 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2011 337   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 68-62 OT 64%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -6.8 -6.7 -5.9
  Jan 10, 2011 318   @ Mississippi Valley L 70-74 44%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -11.7 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 15, 2011 325   @ Alabama A&M L 60-75 50%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -24.1 -4.7 -5.1
  Jan 22, 2011 344   Southern L 52-64 91%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -36.3 -12.8 -12.1
  Jan 24, 2011 342   Alcorn St. W 81-68 88%     4 - 14 3 - 4 -9.1 -11.0 -10.6
  Jan 29, 2011 336   @ Prairie View L 61-69 62%     4 - 15 3 - 5 -20.3 -6.4 -6.2
  Jan 31, 2011 294   @ Texas Southern L 59-73 34%     4 - 16 3 - 6 -19.0 -2.9 -2.8
  Feb 05, 2011 337   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 60-48 83%     5 - 16 4 - 6 -7.1 -9.7 -8.9
  Feb 07, 2011 318   Mississippi Valley W 90-63 68%     6 - 16 5 - 6 +13.0 -6.4 -6.5
  Feb 12, 2011 325   Alabama A&M W 82-68 73%     7 - 16 6 - 6 -1.4 -7.4 -7.5
  Feb 19, 2011 344   @ Southern W 63-50 80%     8 - 16 7 - 6 -4.9 -9.1 -8.2
  Feb 21, 2011 342   @ Alcorn St. W 62-53 74%     9 - 16 8 - 6 -6.7 -8.1 -7.2
  Feb 26, 2011 336   Prairie View W 68-61 82%     10 - 16 9 - 6 -11.6 -9.1 -9.2
  Feb 28, 2011 294   Texas Southern W 60-48 59%     11 - 16 10 - 6 +0.7 -5.6 -5.1
  Mar 03, 2011 288   @ Jackson St. W 63-53 34%     12 - 16 11 - 6 +5.2 -2.5 -1.8
  Mar 05, 2011 332   @ Grambling St. L 73-74 57%     12 - 17 11 - 7 -12.0 -5.3 -5.7
  Mar 10, 2011 325   Alabama A&M W 81-61 62%     13 - 17 +7.7 -5.6 -5.8
  Mar 11, 2011 294   Texas Southern W 73-66 46%     14 - 17 -1.2 -3.9 -4.0
  Mar 12, 2011 332   Grambling St. W 65-48 69%     15 - 17 +2.9 -6.9 -6.4
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0